Date/Time
Date(s) - January 10, 2020
11:45 am - 12:35 pm
Location
406 Weil Hall
Categories
Karen Hicklin, Ph.D.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Abstract: Using Microsimulation to Asses the Impact of Multicomponent Interventions on Colorectal Cancer
Increased utilization of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening has contributed to the declining rates of CRC incidence and mortality in the United States. However, the burden of CRC remains relatively high with over 141,000 new cases diagnosed and more than 52,000 deaths in 2016 alone. Healthy People 2020 and the National Colorectal Cancer Roundtable have set national CRC screening targets at 70.5% and 80%, respectively. While CRC screening has increased in recent years, with approximately two-thirds of age-eligible individuals screened, the feasibility of these targets at the population level remains uncertain.
In this talk, I will present results of an individual-based microsimulation model used to (i) estimate the effectiveness of diverse types of multicomponent interventions in increasing CRC screening statewide and among disparate demographic groups in North Carolina and (ii) to determine if the estimated gains will achieve the 70.5% and 80% screening targets over a 5-year intervention period.