Simultaneous vs. Sequential Auctions,

Intensity of Competition and Uncertainty

 

Juan Feng1 and Kalyan Chatterjee2

1Decision and Information Sciences Department, University of Florida

2Penn State University

 

Under what circumstances will an auctioneer be better off selling his inventory sequentially, rather than selling them all in a single auction? If bidders come sequentially, there is an obvious reason to sell items sequentially. However, even when all bidders are present at the beginning of the auction, and both the auctioneer and bidders are impatient, we show that a sequential auction can still be more profitable to the auctioneer, depending on the “intensity of competition”, which is characterized by the number of items available relative to the number of bidders.  Moreover, a sequential auction without a reserve price can perform better than an auction with one, if the auctioneer can not commit not to (eventually) sell any items below any reserve price announced at the beginning of the auction. Another circumstance where a sequential auction can be better, is when bidders don’t know exactly how many items available for sale. The auctioneer can then take advantage of this uncertainty by pretending to be one with less inventory, to stimulate competition among the bidders. Finally, we show that in a T period setting, how the auctioneer can exploit this uncertainty, by pretending to be an auctioneer with limited inventory for certain periods of time, then revealing this information with time-dependent probabilities.

 

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